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Skenderbeu Korce vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: prediction and statistics
Albania · Superliga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Skenderbeu Korce · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Before kick-off
Superliga, 20 November 2026: Skenderbeu Korce are at home to Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Skenderbeu Korce go into the match 5th of 10 in the table, Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st.
No defeats for Skenderbeu Korce in the last 5 games (2 wins and 3 draws). Egnatia Rrogozhinë have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Skenderbeu Korce have not made their ground a fortress: 6 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats in 23 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Egnatia Rrogozhinë travel well: 20 wins, 8 draws and 16 defeats in 44 away matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 15 meetings — wins: Skenderbeu Korce 4, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 7; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 4 September 2026, finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2:1 Skenderbeu Korce. On average these meetings produce 1.5 goals.
Form
Skenderbeu Korce: last five matches — D-W-W-D-D.
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: last five matches — W-D-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Skenderbeu Korce — 5, Egnatia Rrogozhinë — 1 (of 10).
Home and away record
Skenderbeu Korce at home and Egnatia Rrogozhinë away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Skenderbeu Korce | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 6-8-9 | 20-8-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Skenderbeu Korce won 4, 4 draws, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 7. Per match: 1.5 goals.
- 04.09.2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2:1 Skenderbeu Korce
- 19.04.2025: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0:0 Skenderbeu Korce
- 22.02.2025: Skenderbeu Korce 1:0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 44% of Skenderbeu Korce’s home matches and 41% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Skenderbeu Korce 2.2, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3.1; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 61% (typical match — 49%).
Result
Our model: Skenderbeu Korce win 19%, draw 23%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 49%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Skenderbeu Korce | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 26% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 61% | 77% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.