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Teuta Durrës vs Laci: prediction and statistics
Albania · Superliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Teuta Durrës · Laci
Before kick-off
Teuta Durrës host Laci in Superliga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Teuta Durrës are 2nd of 10, Laci 9th — a gap of 7 places. Teuta Durrës are in the top three. Laci are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Teuta Durrës have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Laci are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Teuta Durrës took 10 from that stretch and Laci only 4.
The home record of Teuta Durrës (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 16 draws and 10 defeats in 42 matches, 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Laci find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats in 23 away matches, 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.0 per game in home matches of Teuta Durrës and 2.1 in away matches of Laci.
The 50 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Teuta Durrës 14, Laci 24, draws 12. Last time out (5 September 2026) it ended Laci 1:3 Teuta Durrës. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Teuta Durrës: last five matches — W-W-W-D-L.
- 9 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Laci: last five matches — W-L-L-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Teuta Durrës — 2, Laci — 9 (of 10).
Home and away record
Teuta Durrës at home and Laci away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Teuta Durrës | Laci | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-16-10 | 3-6-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
Head to head
50 meetings in our database: Teuta Durrës won 14, 12 draws, Laci won 24. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 05.09.2026: Laci 1:3 Teuta Durrës
- 12.04.2025: Teuta Durrës 1:0 Laci
- 16.02.2025: Laci 3:0 Teuta Durrës
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Teuta Durrës home games and 39% of Laci away games.
- Our model makes Teuta Durrës the favourite at 52%; a draw is 26%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Teuta Durrës 2.4, Laci 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 49%).
Result
Our model: Teuta Durrës win 52%, draw 26%, Laci win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Teuta Durrës | Laci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 44% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.