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Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Slovan Bratislava 3.7, VfB Stuttgart 6.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Slovan Bratislava 2.4, VfB Stuttgart 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 63%.
Result
Our model: Slovan Bratislava win 18%, draw 20%, VfB Stuttgart win 62%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 60%.
European cups
Seasons 2025/26 and 2026/27 — the new format
Slovan Bratislava
All 19: 7W · 4D · 8L · goals 28:30
Home 9: 4W · 3D · 2L · goals 16:10
- 09.09.26 · UCL · Paris Saint Germain (a) 1:6
- 26.08.26 · UCL · Celje (a) 2:1
- 19.08.26 · UCL · Celje (h) 1:1
- 11.08.26 · UCL · Mjallby AIF (h) 2:0
- 04.08.26 · UCL · Mjallby AIF (a) 2:1
League · Super Liga 2026/27: 4 of 12 · 5W · 2D · 2L · goals 21:10. Slovakia — 27 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 22.4).
VfB Stuttgart
All 13: 7W · 0D · 6L · goals 23:16
Away 6: 2W · 0D · 4L · goals 8:8
- 09.09.26 · UCL · Viking (h) 3:1
- 19.03.26 · UEL · FC Porto (a) 0:2
- 12.03.26 · UEL · FC Porto (h) 1:2
- 26.02.26 · UEL · Celtic (h) 0:1
- 19.02.26 · UEL · Celtic (a) 4:1
League · Bundesliga 2026/27: 11 of 18 · 2W · 0D · 3L · goals 8:9. Germany — 4 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 81.5).
UCL: league phase 2026/27: Slovan Bratislava — 35 of 36 · 0 pts · 1 played; VfB Stuttgart — 7 of 36 · 3 pts · 1 played.
Head to head in Europe
- 21.01.25 · UCL · Slovan Bratislava 1:3 VfB Stuttgart
Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, qualifiers included — the two seasons of the new format. Corners and cards from matches where they are recorded.
Form
Slovan Bratislava: last five matches — .
VfB Stuttgart: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Slovan Bratislava at home and VfB Stuttgart away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Slovan Bratislava | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 4 |
| Win rate | 46% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 12.4 | 15.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 75% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 75% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Slovan Bratislava won 0, 0 draws, VfB Stuttgart won 1. Per match: 4.0 goals, 23.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 21.01.2025: Slovan Bratislava 1:3 VfB Stuttgart
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.
Who is more likely to win Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model: Slovan Bratislava 18%, draw 20%, VfB Stuttgart 62%.