Xpect
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico: prediction and statistics
Peru · Primera División · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Sport Boys 5.4, Alianza Atletico 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Sport Boys 2.2, Alianza Atletico 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 70%, typical match 75%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sport Boys win 47%, draw 27%, Alianza Atletico win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Sport Boys: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
Alianza Atletico: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Sport Boys — 10, Alianza Atletico — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sport Boys at home and Alianza Atletico away, 2024–2026.
| Sport Boys | Alianza Atletico | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 49 |
| Win rate | 45% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 8.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41% | 29% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 57% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Sport Boys won 5, 1 draws, Alianza Atletico won 5. Per match: 2.3 goals, 8.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 27.09.2026: Sport Boys 2:5 Alianza Atletico
- 19.04.2026: Alianza Atletico 0:1 Sport Boys
- 16.11.2025: Sport Boys 0:1 Alianza Atletico
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.
Who is more likely to win Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Market line without margin: Sport Boys 47%, draw 27%, Alianza Atletico 26%.