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Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 1 · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Strasbourg 4.4, Paris Saint-Germain 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: Strasbourg 1.5, Paris Saint-Germain 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 21% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 61%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Strasbourg win 15%, draw 18%, Paris Saint-Germain win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Strasbourg: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Paris Saint-Germain: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Strasbourg — 9, Paris Saint-Germain — 6 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Strasbourg at home and Paris Saint-Germain away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Strasbourg | Paris Saint-Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 38 |
| Win rate | 56% | 66% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 63% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 66% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 32% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 8% |
Head to head
45 meetings in our database: Strasbourg won 5, 10 draws, Paris Saint-Germain won 30. Per match: 3.0 goals, 9.5 corners, 3.5 yellow cards.
- 01.02.2026: Strasbourg 1:2 Paris Saint-Germain
- 17.10.2025: Paris Saint-Germain 3:3 Strasbourg
- 03.05.2025: Strasbourg 2:1 Paris Saint-Germain
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 21%.
Who is more likely to win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Market line without margin: Strasbourg 15%, draw 18%, Paris Saint-Germain 67%.