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Tenerife vs Mallorca: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tenerife · Mallorca
Before kick-off
Segunda, 21 November 2026: Tenerife are at home to Mallorca. Mallorca sit 5th in the 22-team table while Tenerife are 14th, so 9 places separate the two sides.
An uneven run for Tenerife: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Mallorca are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 1 win and 4 draws. In points that is almost level: 6 against 7.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Tenerife have 9 wins, 10 draws and 8 defeats in 27 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. The away record of Mallorca: 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat in 6 matches, with 0.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average. Both samples are low on goals: 1.9 per game in home matches of Tenerife and 1.2 in away matches of Mallorca.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: Tenerife 2, Mallorca 9; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 16 January 2024, finished Tenerife 0:1 Mallorca. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Tenerife: last five matches — L-W-D-D-D.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Mallorca: last five matches — D-W-D-D-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Tenerife — 14, Mallorca — 5 (of 22).
Home and away record
Tenerife at home and Mallorca away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tenerife | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-10-8 | 1-4-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Tenerife won 2, 5 draws, Mallorca won 9. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 16.01.2024: Tenerife 0:1 Mallorca
- 19.05.2021: Tenerife 0:1 Mallorca
- 03.10.2020: Mallorca 2:0 Tenerife
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 26% of Tenerife’s home matches and 0% of Mallorca’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Tenerife 4.5, Mallorca 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Tenerife 2.3, Mallorca 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 74%, typical match 75%.
Result
Our model: Tenerife win 28%, draw 26%, Mallorca win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Tenerife | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 83% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.