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Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Union Santa Fe 5.3, Defensa Y Justicia 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Union Santa Fe 2.2, Defensa Y Justicia 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 50%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Union Santa Fe win 44%, draw 31%, Defensa Y Justicia win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Union Santa Fe: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Defensa Y Justicia: last five matches — L-D-W-L-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Union Santa Fe — 15, Defensa Y Justicia — 14 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Union Santa Fe at home and Defensa Y Justicia away, 2024–2026.
| Union Santa Fe | Defensa Y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 43 |
| Win rate | 45% | 21% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 27% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 61% | 49% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Union Santa Fe won 6, 6 draws, Defensa Y Justicia won 7. Per match: 2.0 goals, 9.8 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Defensa Y Justicia 2:0 Union Santa Fe
- 21.10.2025: Union Santa Fe 3:0 Defensa Y Justicia
- 14.04.2025: Defensa Y Justicia 0:0 Union Santa Fe
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.
How many yellow cards in Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Market line without margin: Union Santa Fe 44%, draw 31%, Defensa Y Justicia 26%.