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Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and statistics
Japan · J1 League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Vissel Kobe · Mito Hollyhock
Before kick-off
J1 League, 20 November 2026: Vissel Kobe are at home to Mito Hollyhock. Vissel Kobe sit 5th in the 20-team table while Mito Hollyhock are 19th, so 14 places separate the two sides. Mito Hollyhock are in the bottom three.
Recent results of Vissel Kobe are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Results have gone against Mito Hollyhock recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 8 for Vissel Kobe against 3 for Mito Hollyhock.
Vissel Kobe are hard to beat on their own ground — 21 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats in 36 home matches (2025–2027), with 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Mito Hollyhock — 1 win, 5 draws and 11 defeats in 17 away matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 29 September 2013, finished Vissel Kobe 1:1 Mito Hollyhock.
Form
Vissel Kobe: last five matches — D-W-W-D-L.
Mito Hollyhock: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 6 losses in a row · all competitions
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Vissel Kobe — 5, Mito Hollyhock — 19 (of 20).
Home and away record
Vissel Kobe at home and Mito Hollyhock away, 2025–2027.
| Vissel Kobe | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 17 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-10-5 | 1-5-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Vissel Kobe won 1, 1 draws, Mito Hollyhock won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 29.09.2013: Vissel Kobe 1:1 Mito Hollyhock
- 01.06.2013: Mito Hollyhock 0:2 Vissel Kobe
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Vissel Kobe is the more likely winner in our model: 75%, draw 17%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Vissel Kobe’s home matches and 53% of Mito Hollyhock’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Vissel Kobe 4.8, Mito Hollyhock 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.8 yellow cards: Vissel Kobe 1.0, Mito Hollyhock 1.8; typical match of the competition — 2.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 14% (typical match — 14%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 86%, typical match 86%.
Result
Our model: Vissel Kobe win 75%, draw 17%, Mito Hollyhock win 8%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 38%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Vissel Kobe | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 42% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 7.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 12% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 12% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.