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Waalwijk vs FC Volendam: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Waalwijk 5.3, FC Volendam 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Waalwijk 1.4, FC Volendam 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: Waalwijk win 52%, draw 22%, FC Volendam win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Waalwijk: last five matches — D-D-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
FC Volendam: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Waalwijk — 9, FC Volendam — 8 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Waalwijk at home and FC Volendam away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Waalwijk | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 25 |
| Win rate | 42% | 48% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 72% |
| Both teams score | 81% | 72% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 28% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Waalwijk won 5, 3 draws, FC Volendam won 5. Per match: 3.5 goals, 11.3 corners, 1.4 yellow cards.
- 18.07.2026: Waalwijk 2:2 FC Volendam
- 07.04.2024: FC Volendam 3:2 Waalwijk
- 21.10.2023: Waalwijk 2:1 FC Volendam
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Waalwijk vs FC Volendam?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Waalwijk vs FC Volendam?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win Waalwijk vs FC Volendam?
Our model: Waalwijk 52%, draw 22%, FC Volendam 26%.