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Yverdon Sport vs FC Winterthur: prediction and statistics
Switzerland · Challenge League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Yverdon Sport · FC Winterthur
Before kick-off
Yverdon Sport host FC Winterthur in Challenge League on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Yverdon Sport are 3rd, FC Winterthur 2nd in a table of 10. Both sides are in the top three.
Yverdon Sport are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. Recent results of FC Winterthur are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 9 and 10.
Home advantage matters here: Yverdon Sport have 14 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats in 25 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. On the road FC Winterthur are a dangerous side — 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 6 away matches, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 6 in 12 meetings. Last time out (24 July 2026) it ended FC Winterthur 2:2 Yverdon Sport. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Yverdon Sport: last five matches — D-W-D-W-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
FC Winterthur: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Yverdon Sport — 3, FC Winterthur — 2 (of 10).
Home and away record
Yverdon Sport at home and FC Winterthur away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Yverdon Sport | FC Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-6-5 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Yverdon Sport won 3, 6 draws, FC Winterthur won 3. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 24.07.2026: FC Winterthur 2:2 Yverdon Sport
- 17.05.2025: FC Winterthur 2:2 Yverdon Sport
- 08.03.2025: Yverdon Sport 2:1 FC Winterthur
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Yverdon Sport 44%, draw 22%, FC Winterthur 34%.
- 6 of the 12 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of Yverdon Sport home games and 50% of FC Winterthur away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Yverdon Sport 2.5, FC Winterthur 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 53%).
Result
Our model: Yverdon Sport win 44%, draw 22%, FC Winterthur win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 67%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Yverdon Sport | FC Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 17% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 17% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.