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Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · Süper Lig · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Amed SFK · Caykur Rizespor
Before kick-off
Amed SFK host Caykur Rizespor in Süper Lig on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Amed SFK are 3rd of 18, Caykur Rizespor 11th — a gap of 8 places. Amed SFK are in the top three.
Amed SFK arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Caykur Rizespor are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, Amed SFK took 15 from that stretch and Caykur Rizespor only 8.
Home advantage matters here: Amed SFK have 6 wins in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 3.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Away from home Caykur Rizespor have 11 wins, 10 draws and 20 defeats in 41 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. Last time out (2 October 2012) it ended Amed SFK 1:0 Caykur Rizespor.
Form
Amed SFK: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 29 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Caykur Rizespor: last five matches — W-W-D-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Amed SFK — 3, Caykur Rizespor — 11 (of 18).
Home and away record
Amed SFK at home and Caykur Rizespor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Amed SFK | Caykur Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 6-0-0 | 11-10-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.6 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Amed SFK won 1, 0 draws, Caykur Rizespor won 0. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 02.10.2012: Amed SFK 1:0 Caykur Rizespor
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Amed SFK the favourite at 52%; a draw is 23%.
- Amed SFK should win the corner count: 6.2 expected against 3.5 for Caykur Rizespor.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 83% of Amed SFK home games and 61% of Caykur Rizespor away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Amed SFK 6.2, Caykur Rizespor 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Amed SFK 2.3, Caykur Rizespor 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Amed SFK win 52%, draw 23%, Caykur Rizespor win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Amed SFK | Caykur Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 100% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 17% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 49% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.