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Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · Süper Lig · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Kocaelispor · Fenerbahce
Before kick-off
Kocaelispor host Fenerbahce in Süper Lig on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Kocaelispor are 7th, Fenerbahce 6th in a table of 18.
Kocaelispor have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Fenerbahce are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 10 and 9.
The home record of Kocaelispor (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 9 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats in 22 matches, 0.9 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. On the road Fenerbahce are a dangerous side — 25 wins, 10 draws and 6 defeats in 41 away matches, 2.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
History favours Fenerbahce — 7 wins from 9 meetings with Kocaelispor. Last time out (2 February 2026) it ended Kocaelispor 0:2 Fenerbahce. On average these meetings produce 3.7 goals.
Form
Kocaelispor: last five matches — W-W-L-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Fenerbahce: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Kocaelispor — 7, Fenerbahce — 6 (of 18).
Home and away record
Kocaelispor at home and Fenerbahce away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Kocaelispor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-6-7 | 25-10-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Kocaelispor won 0, 2 draws, Fenerbahce won 7. Per match: 3.7 goals.
- 02.02.2026: Kocaelispor 0:2 Fenerbahce
- 23.08.2025: Fenerbahce 3:1 Kocaelispor
- 13.03.2009: Fenerbahce 1:1 Kocaelispor
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Fenerbahce has won 7 of the last 9 meetings with Kocaelispor.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 23% of Kocaelispor home games and 66% of Fenerbahce away games.
- Our model makes Fenerbahce the favourite at 61%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Kocaelispor 4.5, Fenerbahce 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 52%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Kocaelispor 2.4, Fenerbahce 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Kocaelispor win 16%, draw 23%, Fenerbahce win 61%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 44%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Kocaelispor | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 66% |
| Both teams score | 32% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 32% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 51% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.