Xpect
Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · Süper Lig · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Genclerbirligi · Gaziantep FK
Before kick-off
Süper Lig, 21 November 2026: Genclerbirligi are at home to Gaziantep FK. They are neighbours in the table: Genclerbirligi are 14th and Gaziantep FK 16th of 18. Gaziantep FK are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for Genclerbirligi: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Gaziantep FK have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Genclerbirligi have 9 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats in 23 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Gaziantep FK — 8 wins, 10 draws and 22 defeats in 40 away matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 8 meetings — wins: Genclerbirligi 4, Gaziantep FK 3; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Genclerbirligi 2:1 Gaziantep FK. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Genclerbirligi: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Gaziantep FK: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Genclerbirligi — 14, Gaziantep FK — 16 (of 18).
Home and away record
Genclerbirligi at home and Gaziantep FK away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Genclerbirligi | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-6-8 | 8-10-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Genclerbirligi won 4, 1 draws, Gaziantep FK won 3. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 01.02.2026: Genclerbirligi 2:1 Gaziantep FK
- 23.08.2025: Gaziantep FK 2:1 Genclerbirligi
- 02.03.2021: Gaziantep FK 2:1 Genclerbirligi
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Genclerbirligi is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 61% of Genclerbirligi’s home matches and 68% of Gaziantep FK’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Genclerbirligi 4.7, Gaziantep FK 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 63%, typical match 62%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Genclerbirligi 2.0, Gaziantep FK 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Genclerbirligi win 54%, draw 24%, Gaziantep FK win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Genclerbirligi | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 68% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 57% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.