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Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Hanácká: prediction and statistics
Czechia · Chance Národní liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Arsenal Česká Lípa · Hanácká
Before kick-off
Chance Národní liga, 21 November 2026: Arsenal Česká Lípa are at home to Hanácká. Arsenal Česká Lípa sit 10th in the 16-team table while Hanácká are 16th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Hanácká are in the bottom three.
The last 5 games brought Arsenal Česká Lípa no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Results have gone against Hanácká recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 3 against 4.
Arsenal Česká Lípa have not made their ground a fortress: 1 win, 4 draws and 2 defeats in 7 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. The away record of Hanácká: 6 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats in 21 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded on average.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Arsenal Česká Lípa: last five matches — D-L-L-D-D.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Hanácká: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
Table: Arsenal Česká Lípa — 10, Hanácká — 16 (of 16).
Home and away record
Arsenal Česká Lípa at home and Hanácká away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | Hanácká | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 1-4-2 | 6-2-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Arsenal Česká Lípa is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 57% of Arsenal Česká Lípa’s home matches and 57% of Hanácká’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Arsenal Česká Lípa 1.9, Hanácká 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Arsenal Česká Lípa win 57%, draw 21%, Hanácká win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 63%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | Hanácká | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 14% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 86% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 29% | 62% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.