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Atlético CP vs Vizela: prediction and statistics
Portugal · Taça de Portugal · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Atlético CP · Vizela
Result
Our model: Atlético CP win 44%, draw 27%, Vizela win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Atlético CP: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Vizela: last five matches — L-L-W-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Atlético CP at home and Vizela away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Atlético CP | Vizela | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Win rate | 67% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 0% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Atlético CP won 0, 0 draws, Vizela won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 21.10.2023: Atlético CP 0:1 Vizela
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Atlético CP vs Vizela?
Our model: Atlético CP 44%, draw 27%, Vizela 29%.