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Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 21 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Atletico San Luis · Club Queretaro
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Atletico San Luis 6.0, Club Queretaro 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 53%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Atletico San Luis 1.8, Club Queretaro 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Atletico San Luis win 36%, draw 26%, Club Queretaro win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Atletico San Luis: last five matches — D-D-L-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Club Queretaro: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · away
Table: Atletico San Luis — 15, Club Queretaro — 3 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atletico San Luis at home and Club Queretaro away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Atletico San Luis | Club Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 39 |
| Win rate | 43% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 24% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 33% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Atletico San Luis won 6, 3 draws, Club Queretaro won 6. Per match: 3.0 goals, 8.9 corners, 5.2 yellow cards.
- 26.06.2026: Club Queretaro 2:2 Atletico San Luis
- 14.02.2026: Atletico San Luis 3:0 Club Queretaro
- 23.08.2025: Club Queretaro 3:2 Atletico San Luis
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 42%.
Who is more likely to win Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro?
Our model: Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 26%, Club Queretaro 38%.