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Bình Phước vs Ha Noi: prediction and statistics
Vietnam · V.League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bình Phước · Ha Noi
Before kick-off
V.League 1, 21 November 2026: Bình Phước are at home to Ha Noi. Bình Phước go into the match 14th of 14 in the table, Ha Noi are 9th. Bình Phước are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
An uneven run for Bình Phước: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Ha Noi recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games.
At home (2025–2027) Bình Phước have 3 wins and 3 defeats in 6 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The away record of Ha Noi: 13 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats in 30 matches, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 8 September 2022, finished Bình Phước 0:5 Ha Noi.
Form
Bình Phước: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 11 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 11 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Ha Noi: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
Table: Bình Phước — 14, Ha Noi — 9 (of 14).
Home and away record
Bình Phước at home and Ha Noi away, 2025–2027.
| Bình Phước | Ha Noi | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-0-3 | 13-5-12 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Bình Phước won 0, 0 draws, Ha Noi won 1. Per match: 5.0 goals.
- 08.09.2022: Bình Phước 0:5 Ha Noi
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 31% – 26% – 43%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 67% of Bình Phước’s home matches and 57% of Ha Noi’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Bình Phước 1.6, Ha Noi 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Bình Phước win 31%, draw 26%, Ha Noi win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Bình Phước | Ha Noi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 33% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.