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Nam Dinh vs Hai Phong: prediction and statistics
Vietnam · V.League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Nam Dinh · Hai Phong
Before kick-off
Nam Dinh host Hai Phong in V.League 1 on 21 November 2026. In the standings Nam Dinh are 1st and Hai Phong 6th out of 14 teams.
Nam Dinh have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Hai Phong: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: Nam Dinh have 18 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats in 29 home matches (2025–2027), scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 per game. Hai Phong find it hard on the road: 5 wins, 7 draws and 17 defeats in 29 away matches, 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
The 19 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Nam Dinh 6, Hai Phong 9, draws 4. Last time out (7 June 2026) it ended Hai Phong 1:1 Nam Dinh. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Nam Dinh: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Hai Phong: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Nam Dinh — 1, Hai Phong — 6 (of 14).
Home and away record
Nam Dinh at home and Hai Phong away, 2025–2027.
| Nam Dinh | Hai Phong | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-5-6 | 5-7-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Nam Dinh won 6, 4 draws, Hai Phong won 9. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 07.06.2026: Hai Phong 1:1 Nam Dinh
- 16.08.2025: Nam Dinh 2:1 Hai Phong
- 06.04.2025: Nam Dinh 2:0 Hai Phong
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 55% of Nam Dinh home games and 48% of Hai Phong away games.
- Our model makes Nam Dinh the favourite at 65%; a draw is 20%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Nam Dinh 1.6, Hai Phong 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Nam Dinh win 65%, draw 20%, Hai Phong win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Nam Dinh | Hai Phong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 62% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 17% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.