Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife: prediction and statistics

Spain · Segunda · 19 October 2026 · kick-off 18:30 UTC

Team stats: Celta de Vigo II · Tenerife

Result

Our model: Celta de Vigo II win 40%, draw 26%, Tenerife win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.

Form

Celta de Vigo II: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.

3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions

Tenerife: last five matches — D-W-D-L-L.

4 matches without a win · all competitions
3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions

Table: Celta de Vigo II — 13, Tenerife — 12 (of 22).

Team statistics for three seasons

Celta de Vigo II at home and Tenerife away, 2024/25–2026/27.

	Celta de Vigo II	Tenerife
Matches	5	25
Win rate	40%	8%
Goals scored per match	2.0	0.8
Goals conceded per match	2.0	1.8
Over 2.5 goals	80%	52%
Both teams score	80%	52%
Total corners per match	8.2	9.3
Over 9.5 corners	40%	36%
Total yellow cards per match	6.0	4.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards	80%	48%

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: Celta de Vigo II won 0, 1 draws, Tenerife won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.

13.03.2026: Celta de Vigo II 1:1 Tenerife
15.11.2025: Tenerife 4:0 Celta de Vigo II

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?

Our model: Celta de Vigo II 40%, draw 26%, Tenerife 34%.