Xpect
Gais vs Vasteras SK FK: prediction and statistics
Sweden · Allsvenskan · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gais · Vasteras SK FK
Before kick-off
Allsvenskan, 21 November 2026: Gais are at home to Vasteras SK FK. Gais go into the match 9th of 16 in the table, Vasteras SK FK are 6th.
Recent results of Gais are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Vasteras SK FK have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 8 against 7.
At home (2024–2026) Gais have 23 wins, 13 draws and 8 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. The away record of Vasteras SK FK: 9 wins, 4 draws and 16 defeats in 29 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 12 meetings — wins: Gais 5, Vasteras SK FK 5; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Vasteras SK FK 0:1 Gais. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Gais: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Vasteras SK FK: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Gais — 9, Vasteras SK FK — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
Gais at home and Vasteras SK FK away, 2024–2026.
| Gais | Vasteras SK FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-13-8 | 9-4-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.6 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Gais won 5, 2 draws, Vasteras SK FK won 5. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 09.05.2026: Vasteras SK FK 0:1 Gais
- 14.09.2024: Vasteras SK FK 2:3 Gais
- 11.05.2024: Gais 2:0 Vasteras SK FK
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Gais’s home matches and 59% of Vasteras SK FK’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Gais: 5.6 against 4.5 for Vasteras SK FK.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Gais 5.6, Vasteras SK FK 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Gais 1.9, Vasteras SK FK 1.4; typical match of the competition — 3.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 29%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 57%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Gais win 45%, draw 26%, Vasteras SK FK win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Gais | Vasteras SK FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 52% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68% | 62% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 7% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.