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Mjallby AIF vs Malmo FF: prediction and statistics
Sweden · Allsvenskan · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mjallby AIF · Malmo FF
Before kick-off
Allsvenskan, 21 November 2026: Mjallby AIF are at home to Malmo FF. Mjallby AIF go into the match 12th of 16 in the table, Malmo FF are 7th.
Recent results of Mjallby AIF are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Malmo FF have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 8 against 8.
At home (2024–2026) Mjallby AIF have 23 wins, 12 draws and 9 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Malmo FF travel well: 19 wins, 17 draws and 8 defeats in 44 away matches, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 15 meetings — wins: Mjallby AIF 7, Malmo FF 4; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Malmo FF 2:3 Mjallby AIF. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Mjallby AIF: last five matches — D-W-L-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Malmo FF: last five matches — W-L-D-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Mjallby AIF — 12, Malmo FF — 7 (of 16).
Home and away record
Mjallby AIF at home and Malmo FF away, 2024–2026.
| Mjallby AIF | Malmo FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-12-9 | 19-17-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Mjallby AIF won 7, 4 draws, Malmo FF won 4. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 03.05.2026: Malmo FF 2:3 Mjallby AIF
- 14.03.2026: Mjallby AIF 4:0 Malmo FF
- 09.08.2025: Malmo FF 1:3 Mjallby AIF
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 34% – 25% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Mjallby AIF’s home matches and 48% of Malmo FF’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Mjallby AIF 5.4, Malmo FF 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Mjallby AIF 1.8, Malmo FF 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 29%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 52%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Mjallby AIF win 34%, draw 25%, Malmo FF win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Mjallby AIF | Malmo FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 52% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 32% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.