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IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Partizan: prediction and statistics

Serbia · Super Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

IMT Novi Beograd host FK Partizan in Super Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: IMT Novi Beograd are 4th of 14, FK Partizan 10th — a gap of 6 places.

IMT Novi Beograd have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for FK Partizan: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 7 and 7.

The home record of IMT Novi Beograd (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 14 draws and 14 defeats in 45 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. On the road FK Partizan are a dangerous side — 22 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats in 43 away matches, 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

The 7 previous meetings are fairly balanced — IMT Novi Beograd 2, FK Partizan 3, draws 2. Last time out (2 August 2026) it ended FK Partizan 1:2 IMT Novi Beograd. On average these meetings produce 3.4 goals.

Form

IMT Novi Beograd: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.

FK Partizan: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.

Table: IMT Novi Beograd — 4, FK Partizan — 10 (of 14).

Home and away record

IMT Novi Beograd at home and FK Partizan away, 2024/25–2026/27.

IMT Novi BeogradFK Partizan
Matches4543
Wins · draws · losses17-14-1422-9-12
Goals scored per match1.21.9
Goals conceded per match1.11.4

Head to head

7 meetings in our database: IMT Novi Beograd won 2, 2 draws, FK Partizan won 3. Per match: 3.4 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 38% of IMT Novi Beograd home games and 65% of FK Partizan away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: IMT Novi Beograd 37%, draw 27%, FK Partizan 36%.

Corners

61%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: IMT Novi Beograd 4.2, FK Partizan 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 42%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.

Yellow cards

53%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: IMT Novi Beograd 2.6, FK Partizan 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 53%, typical match 46%.

Result

Our model: IMT Novi Beograd win 37%, draw 27%, FK Partizan win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.

Team statistics for three seasons

IMT Novi BeogradFK Partizan
Win rate38%51%
Over 2.5 goals38%65%
Both teams score42%56%
Total corners per match8.48.4
Over 9.5 corners36%37%
Total yellow cards per match3.95.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards40%47%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 8.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.3 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

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