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Mladost Lucani vs Železničar Pančevo: prediction and statistics
Serbia · Super Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mladost Lucani · Železničar Pančevo
Before kick-off
Mladost Lucani host Železničar Pančevo in Super Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Železničar Pančevo are 3rd of 14, Mladost Lucani 9th — a gap of 6 places. Železničar Pančevo are part of the leading group.
Mladost Lucani have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Železničar Pančevo are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 8 and 9.
The home record of Mladost Lucani (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 15 draws and 12 defeats in 43 matches, 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Železničar Pančevo have 15 wins, 11 draws and 16 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game.
The 7 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Mladost Lucani 4, Železničar Pančevo 1, draws 2. Last time out (3 August 2026) it ended Železničar Pančevo 0:0 Mladost Lucani. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.
Form
Mladost Lucani: last five matches — W-W-D-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Železničar Pančevo: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Mladost Lucani — 9, Železničar Pančevo — 3 (of 14).
Home and away record
Mladost Lucani at home and Železničar Pančevo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mladost Lucani | Železničar Pančevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 42 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-15-12 | 15-11-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Mladost Lucani won 4, 2 draws, Železničar Pančevo won 1. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 03.08.2026: Železničar Pančevo 0:0 Mladost Lucani
- 15.03.2026: Železničar Pančevo 5:0 Mladost Lucani
- 19.10.2025: Mladost Lucani 2:1 Železničar Pančevo
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Železničar Pančevo the favourite at 60%; a draw is 24%.
- Železničar Pančevo should win the corner count: 6.1 expected against 3.0 for Mladost Lucani.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 42% of Mladost Lucani home games and 50% of Železničar Pančevo away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Mladost Lucani 3.0, Železničar Pančevo 6.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Mladost Lucani 2.2, Železničar Pančevo 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: Mladost Lucani win 16%, draw 24%, Železničar Pančevo win 60%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 41%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Mladost Lucani | Železničar Pančevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 29% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 52% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.