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Irapuato vs Zacatepec 1948: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Irapuato · Zacatepec 1948
Result
Our model: Irapuato win 63%, draw 22%, Zacatepec 1948 win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Irapuato: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
Zacatepec 1948: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Irapuato — 1, Zacatepec 1948 — 7 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Irapuato at home and Zacatepec 1948 away, 2026.
| Irapuato | Zacatepec 1948 | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Win rate | 100% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Irapuato won 1, 0 draws, Zacatepec 1948 won 1. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 23.02.2025: Irapuato 2:1 Zacatepec 1948
- 16.10.2024: Zacatepec 1948 3:1 Irapuato
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Irapuato vs Zacatepec 1948?
Our model: Irapuato 63%, draw 22%, Zacatepec 1948 15%.