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Tigres de Alica vs Reboceros La Piedad: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tigres de Alica · Reboceros La Piedad
Result
Our model: Tigres de Alica win 64%, draw 19%, Reboceros La Piedad win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Tigres de Alica: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 15 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Reboceros La Piedad: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Tigres de Alica — 6, Reboceros La Piedad — 4 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tigres de Alica at home and Reboceros La Piedad away, 2026.
| Tigres de Alica | Reboceros La Piedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Win rate | 50% | 67% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 75% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Tigres de Alica won 2, 0 draws, Reboceros La Piedad won 0. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 25.01.2026: Tigres de Alica 2:1 Reboceros La Piedad
- 07.09.2025: Reboceros La Piedad 0:2 Tigres de Alica
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Tigres de Alica vs Reboceros La Piedad?
Our model: Tigres de Alica 64%, draw 19%, Reboceros La Piedad 18%.