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Pioneros de Cancún vs Jaguares de Chiapas: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga Premier · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Pioneros de Cancún · Jaguares de Chiapas
Result
Our model: Pioneros de Cancún win 57%, draw 23%, Jaguares de Chiapas win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Pioneros de Cancún: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Jaguares de Chiapas: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Pioneros de Cancún — 2, Jaguares de Chiapas — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Pioneros de Cancún at home and Jaguares de Chiapas away, 2026.
| Pioneros de Cancún | Jaguares de Chiapas | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Win rate | 67% | 67% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 0% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Pioneros de Cancún won 1, 1 draws, Jaguares de Chiapas won 2. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 07.02.2026: Pioneros de Cancún 2:0 Jaguares de Chiapas
- 21.09.2025: Jaguares de Chiapas 4:2 Pioneros de Cancún
- 22.02.2025: Pioneros de Cancún 0:2 Jaguares de Chiapas
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Pioneros de Cancún vs Jaguares de Chiapas?
Our model: Pioneros de Cancún 57%, draw 23%, Jaguares de Chiapas 20%.