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Kolos Kovalivka vs FC Kharkiv: prediction and statistics
Ukraine · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Kolos Kovalivka · FC Kharkiv
Before kick-off
Premier League, 21 November 2026: Kolos Kovalivka are at home to FC Kharkiv. Kolos Kovalivka go into the match 9th of 16 in the table, FC Kharkiv are 4th.
Kolos Kovalivka are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. FC Kharkiv arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 15 for FC Kharkiv against 4 for Kolos Kovalivka.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Kolos Kovalivka have 9 wins, 15 draws and 9 defeats in 33 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. FC Kharkiv travel well: 10 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats in 21 away matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.5 per game in home matches of Kolos Kovalivka and 2.1 in away matches of FC Kharkiv.
This fixture often ends level: 6 of the 11 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Kolos Kovalivka 0:0 FC Kharkiv. On average these meetings produce 0.9 goals.
Form
Kolos Kovalivka: last five matches — D-L-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
FC Kharkiv: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 7 wins in a row · away
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Kolos Kovalivka — 9, FC Kharkiv — 4 (of 16).
Home and away record
Kolos Kovalivka at home and FC Kharkiv away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Kolos Kovalivka | FC Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-15-9 | 10-8-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Kolos Kovalivka won 3, 6 draws, FC Kharkiv won 2. Per match: 0.9 goals.
- 04.04.2026: Kolos Kovalivka 0:0 FC Kharkiv
- 28.09.2025: FC Kharkiv 1:0 Kolos Kovalivka
- 23.03.2025: FC Kharkiv 0:0 Kolos Kovalivka
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 15% of Kolos Kovalivka’s home matches and 38% of FC Kharkiv’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 6 of 11 meetings.
- FC Kharkiv is the more likely winner in our model: 50%, draw 24%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Kolos Kovalivka 2.2, FC Kharkiv 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Kolos Kovalivka win 25%, draw 24%, FC Kharkiv win 50%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Kolos Kovalivka | FC Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 27% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 15% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 7.8 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.