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Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka: prediction and statistics
Ukraine · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Kryvbas KR · Kudrivka
Before kick-off
Kryvbas KR host Kudrivka in Premier League on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Kryvbas KR are 16th, Kudrivka 15th in a table of 16. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Kryvbas KR are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Kudrivka no victory — 5 defeats.
The home record of Kryvbas KR (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 15 wins, 8 draws and 12 defeats in 35 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Kudrivka find it hard on the road: 2 wins, 5 draws and 17 defeats in 24 away matches, 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (12 April 2026) it ended Kudrivka 1:2 Kryvbas KR.
Form
Kryvbas KR: last five matches — L-D-D-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Kudrivka: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 6 losses in a row · away
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Kryvbas KR — 16, Kudrivka — 15 (of 16).
Home and away record
Kryvbas KR at home and Kudrivka away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Kryvbas KR | Kudrivka | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 24 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-8-12 | 2-5-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 2.1 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Kryvbas KR won 2, 0 draws, Kudrivka won 0. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 12.04.2026: Kudrivka 1:2 Kryvbas KR
- 05.10.2025: Kryvbas KR 3:1 Kudrivka
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Kryvbas KR home games and 50% of Kudrivka away games.
- Our model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 59%; a draw is 21%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Kryvbas KR 1.9, Kudrivka 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 61%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Kryvbas KR win 59%, draw 21%, Kudrivka win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Kryvbas KR | Kudrivka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 37% | 33% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.