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Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 1 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Le Havre AC 5.3, AJ Auxerre 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 51%, typical match 48%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Le Havre AC 1.9, AJ Auxerre 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Le Havre AC win 43%, draw 26%, AJ Auxerre win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Le Havre AC: last five matches — D-L-L-D-W.
AJ Auxerre: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Le Havre AC — 18, AJ Auxerre — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Le Havre AC at home and AJ Auxerre away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Le Havre AC | AJ Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 36 |
| Win rate | 22% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 28% |
Head to head
42 meetings in our database: Le Havre AC won 16, 10 draws, AJ Auxerre won 16. Per match: 2.3 goals, 11.0 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 05.04.2026: Le Havre AC 1:1 AJ Auxerre
- 26.10.2025: AJ Auxerre 0:1 Le Havre AC
- 04.05.2025: AJ Auxerre 1:2 Le Havre AC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre?
Our model: Le Havre AC 43%, draw 26%, AJ Auxerre 31%.