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Otrant-Olympic vs Bokelj: prediction and statistics
Montenegro · First League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Otrant-Olympic · Bokelj
Before kick-off
Otrant-Olympic host Bokelj in First League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Otrant-Olympic are 1st and Bokelj 6th out of 10 teams.
Otrant-Olympic have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Bokelj no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Counted in points, Otrant-Olympic took 8 from that stretch and Bokelj only 3.
The home record of Otrant-Olympic (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 10 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats in 25 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home Bokelj have 13 wins, 14 draws and 17 defeats in 44 matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.1 per game.
History favours Bokelj — 13 wins from 21 meetings with Otrant-Olympic. Last time out (10 September 2026) it ended Bokelj 2:1 Otrant-Olympic. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Otrant-Olympic: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Bokelj: last five matches — D-L-D-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Otrant-Olympic — 1, Bokelj — 6 (of 10).
Home and away record
Otrant-Olympic at home and Bokelj away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Otrant-Olympic | Bokelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-5-10 | 13-14-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Head to head
21 meetings in our database: Otrant-Olympic won 3, 5 draws, Bokelj won 13. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 10.09.2026: Bokelj 2:1 Otrant-Olympic
- 19.07.2026: Bokelj 1:0 Otrant-Olympic
- 24.05.2025: Bokelj 1:5 Otrant-Olympic
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Bokelj has won 13 of the last 21 meetings with Otrant-Olympic.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Otrant-Olympic home games and 27% of Bokelj away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Otrant-Olympic 1.9, Bokelj 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: Otrant-Olympic win 49%, draw 27%, Bokelj win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Otrant-Olympic | Bokelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 32% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 39% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.