Xpect
Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Racing Genk · RAAL La Louvière
Before kick-off
Racing Genk host RAAL La Louvière in Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Racing Genk are 7th of 18, RAAL La Louvière 17th — a gap of 10 places. RAAL La Louvière are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Racing Genk have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. RAAL La Louvière are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Home advantage matters here: Racing Genk have 26 wins, 11 draws and 8 defeats in 45 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.9 per game. RAAL La Louvière find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats in 23 away matches, 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (22 March 2026) it ended RAAL La Louvière 5:5 Racing Genk.
Form
Racing Genk: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
RAAL La Louvière: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Racing Genk — 7, RAAL La Louvière — 17 (of 18).
Home and away record
Racing Genk at home and RAAL La Louvière away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Racing Genk | RAAL La Louvière | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-11-8 | 3-6-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.0 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Racing Genk won 0, 2 draws, RAAL La Louvière won 0. Per match: 6.0 goals.
- 22.03.2026: RAAL La Louvière 5:5 Racing Genk
- 26.10.2025: Racing Genk 1:1 RAAL La Louvière
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Racing Genk should win the corner count: 5.6 expected against 4.5 for RAAL La Louvière.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Racing Genk home games and 65% of RAAL La Louvière away games.
- Our model makes Racing Genk the favourite at 67%; a draw is 19%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Racing Genk 5.6, RAAL La Louvière 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Racing Genk 1.5, RAAL La Louvière 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.
Result
Our model: Racing Genk win 67%, draw 19%, RAAL La Louvière win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Racing Genk | RAAL La Louvière | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 61% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 26% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.