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KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: KV Mechelen · Club Brugge
Before kick-off
KV Mechelen host Club Brugge in Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Club Brugge are 2nd of 18, KV Mechelen 11th — a gap of 9 places. Club Brugge are part of the leading group.
KV Mechelen have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Club Brugge right now — 5 wins from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Club Brugge took 15 from that stretch and KV Mechelen only 9.
The home record of KV Mechelen (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 16 draws and 13 defeats in 45 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. On the road Club Brugge are a dangerous side — 27 wins, 8 draws and 10 defeats in 45 away matches, 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.0 per game in home matches of KV Mechelen and 3.0 in away matches of Club Brugge.
History favours Club Brugge — 20 wins from 33 meetings with KV Mechelen. Last time out (21 May 2026) it ended KV Mechelen 2:2 Club Brugge. On average these meetings produce 3.3 goals.
Form
KV Mechelen: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Club Brugge: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: KV Mechelen — 11, Club Brugge — 2 (of 18).
Home and away record
KV Mechelen at home and Club Brugge away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| KV Mechelen | Club Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 45 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-16-13 | 27-8-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Head to head
33 meetings in our database: KV Mechelen won 5, 8 draws, Club Brugge won 20. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 21.05.2026: KV Mechelen 2:2 Club Brugge
- 22.04.2026: Club Brugge 6:1 KV Mechelen
- 22.03.2026: Club Brugge 4:1 KV Mechelen
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Club Brugge should win the corner count: 5.9 expected against 4.1 for KV Mechelen.
- Club Brugge has won 20 of the last 33 meetings with KV Mechelen.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of KV Mechelen home games and 67% of Club Brugge away games.
- Our model makes Club Brugge the favourite at 72%; a draw is 16%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: KV Mechelen 4.1, Club Brugge 5.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: KV Mechelen 1.8, Club Brugge 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 62%.
Result
Our model: KV Mechelen win 12%, draw 16%, Club Brugge win 72%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| KV Mechelen | Club Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 40% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.