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Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Royal Charleroi SC · Sint-Truidense
Before kick-off
Royal Charleroi SC host Sint-Truidense in Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Royal Charleroi SC are 4th of 18, Sint-Truidense 12th — a gap of 8 places.
Royal Charleroi SC arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Sint-Truidense: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Royal Charleroi SC took 12 from that stretch and Sint-Truidense only 6.
The home record of Royal Charleroi SC (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 21 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats in 45 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Sint-Truidense have 13 wins, 8 draws and 22 defeats in 43 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.7 per game.
The 26 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Royal Charleroi SC 12, Sint-Truidense 5, draws 9. Last time out (31 January 2026) it ended Sint-Truidense 0:2 Royal Charleroi SC. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Royal Charleroi SC: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Sint-Truidense: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Royal Charleroi SC — 4, Sint-Truidense — 12 (of 18).
Home and away record
Royal Charleroi SC at home and Sint-Truidense away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Royal Charleroi SC | Sint-Truidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-10-14 | 13-8-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Head to head
26 meetings in our database: Royal Charleroi SC won 12, 9 draws, Sint-Truidense won 5. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 31.01.2026: Sint-Truidense 0:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 03.08.2025: Royal Charleroi SC 1:1 Sint-Truidense
- 21.12.2024: Royal Charleroi SC 2:1 Sint-Truidense
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Royal Charleroi SC home games and 61% of Sint-Truidense away games.
- Our model makes Royal Charleroi SC the favourite at 54%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Royal Charleroi SC 5.5, Sint-Truidense 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Royal Charleroi SC 1.8, Sint-Truidense 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 53%, typical match 43%.
Result
Our model: Royal Charleroi SC win 54%, draw 23%, Sint-Truidense win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Royal Charleroi SC | Sint-Truidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 26% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.