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Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets: prediction and statistics
Russia · First League · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ska-khabarovsk · Leningradets
Before kick-off
Ska-khabarovsk host Leningradets in First League on 15 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Ska-khabarovsk are 15th, Leningradets 13th in a table of 18.
Ska-khabarovsk have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Leningradets: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Ska-khabarovsk took 10 from that stretch and Leningradets only 5.
The home record of Ska-khabarovsk (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats in 41 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Leningradets find it hard on the road: 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats in 8 away matches, 0.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
The 4 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Ska-khabarovsk 2, Leningradets 1, draws 1. Last time out (4 November 2026) it ended Leningradets 1:1 Ska-khabarovsk. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Ska-khabarovsk: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Leningradets: last five matches — W-L-L-D-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Ska-khabarovsk — 15, Leningradets — 13 (of 18).
Home and away record
Ska-khabarovsk at home and Leningradets away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ska-khabarovsk | Leningradets | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 8 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-12-12 | 1-2-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 2.1 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Ska-khabarovsk won 2, 1 draws, Leningradets won 1. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 04.11.2026: Leningradets 1:1 Ska-khabarovsk
- 05.09.2026: Leningradets 3:2 Ska-khabarovsk
- 28.04.2024: Leningradets 0:1 Ska-khabarovsk
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Ska-khabarovsk should win the corner count: 5.5 expected against 3.7 for Leningradets.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 49% of Ska-khabarovsk home games and 38% of Leningradets away games.
- Our model makes Ska-khabarovsk the favourite at 60%; a draw is 22%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Ska-khabarovsk 5.5, Leningradets 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Ska-khabarovsk 1.7, Leningradets 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Ska-khabarovsk win 60%, draw 22%, Leningradets win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ska-khabarovsk | Leningradets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.