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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: prediction and statistics

Germany · Bundesliga · 17 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

57%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: SV Elversberg 6.0, FC Augsburg 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 50%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 50%.

Yellow cards

65%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: SV Elversberg 1.6, FC Augsburg 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 35%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 65%.

Result

Market line without margin: SV Elversberg win 38%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 66%.

Form

SV Elversberg: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.

FC Augsburg: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.

Table: SV Elversberg — 8, FC Augsburg — 5 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

SV Elversberg at home and FC Augsburg away, 2024/25–2026/27.

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg
Matches236
Win rate50%31%
Goals scored per match2.01.2
Goals conceded per match2.01.9
Over 2.5 goals100%64%
Both teams score100%56%
Total corners per match9.59.4
Over 9.5 corners50%53%
Total yellow cards per match3.53.6
Over 4.5 yellow cards50%28%

Head to head

1 meetings in our database: SV Elversberg won 0, 1 draws, FC Augsburg won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.

How many yellow cards in SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.

Who is more likely to win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Market line without margin: SV Elversberg 38%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg 37%.

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