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Syunik vs FC Urartu: prediction and statistics

Armenia · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Syunik host FC Urartu in Premier League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Syunik are 10th and FC Urartu 6th out of 12 teams. Syunik are in the bottom three.

Syunik have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for FC Urartu: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games.

Home advantage matters here: Syunik have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. On the road FC Urartu are a dangerous side — 19 wins, 9 draws and 7 defeats in 35 away matches, 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (13 August 2026) it ended FC Urartu 3:0 Syunik.

Form

Syunik: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.

FC Urartu: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.

Table: Syunik — 10, FC Urartu — 6 (of 12).

Home and away record

Syunik at home and FC Urartu away, 2024/25–2026/27.

SyunikFC Urartu
Matches635
Wins · draws · losses4-1-119-9-7
Goals scored per match2.21.5
Goals conceded per match0.80.8

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: Syunik won 0, 1 draws, FC Urartu won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of Syunik home games and 49% of FC Urartu away games.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Syunik 2.5, FC Urartu 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 44%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 63%.

Result

Our model: Syunik win 30%, draw 22%, FC Urartu win 48%. Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 69%.

Team statistics for three seasons

SyunikFC Urartu
Win rate67%54%
Over 2.5 goals67%49%
Both teams score50%49%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match3.35.1
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%63%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction