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Tigres FC vs Real Cundinamarca: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera B · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Tigres FC · Real Cundinamarca
Before kick-off
Primera B, 15 November 2026: Tigres FC are at home to Real Cundinamarca. Tigres FC go into the match 6th of 16 in the table, Real Cundinamarca are 9th.
No defeats for Tigres FC in the last 5 games (2 wins and 3 draws). Real Cundinamarca have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Tigres FC have 22 wins, 19 draws and 17 defeats in 58 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. The away record of Real Cundinamarca: 15 wins, 19 draws and 25 defeats in 59 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded on average. Both samples are low on goals: 1.7 per game in home matches of Tigres FC and 2.1 in away matches of Real Cundinamarca.
Head to head there is no clear master over 8 meetings — wins: Tigres FC 2, Real Cundinamarca 3; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 1 November 2026, finished Real Cundinamarca 0:0 Tigres FC. On average these meetings produce 1.2 goals.
Form
Tigres FC: last five matches — D-W-D-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Real Cundinamarca: last five matches — W-W-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Tigres FC — 6, Real Cundinamarca — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
Tigres FC at home and Real Cundinamarca away, 2024–2026.
| Tigres FC | Real Cundinamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 58 | 59 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-19-17 | 15-19-25 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Tigres FC won 2, 3 draws, Real Cundinamarca won 3. Per match: 1.2 goals.
- 01.11.2026: Real Cundinamarca 0:0 Tigres FC
- 20.10.2026: Tigres FC 0:0 Real Cundinamarca
- 11.04.2026: Real Cundinamarca 0:2 Tigres FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 41% – 31% – 28%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 22% of Tigres FC’s home matches and 32% of Real Cundinamarca’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Tigres FC 2.4, Real Cundinamarca 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 59%).
Result
Our model: Tigres FC win 41%, draw 31%, Real Cundinamarca win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 38%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Tigres FC | Real Cundinamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 70% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.