Xpect
Ventforet Kofu vs Vanraure Hachinohe: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ventforet Kofu · Vanraure Hachinohe
Before kick-off
J2 League, 21 November 2026: Ventforet Kofu are at home to Vanraure Hachinohe. They are neighbours in the table: Ventforet Kofu are 20th and Vanraure Hachinohe 18th of 20. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Ventforet Kofu are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Results have gone against Vanraure Hachinohe recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 3 against 4.
Ventforet Kofu have not made their ground a fortress: 12 wins, 10 draws and 24 defeats in 46 home matches (2024–2026), 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The away record of Vanraure Hachinohe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in 8 matches, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 21 June 2017, finished Ventforet Kofu 0:1 Vanraure Hachinohe.
Form
Ventforet Kofu: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 27 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Vanraure Hachinohe: last five matches — L-D-W-L-L.
- 18 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Ventforet Kofu — 20, Vanraure Hachinohe — 18 (of 20).
Home and away record
Ventforet Kofu at home and Vanraure Hachinohe away, 2024–2026.
| Ventforet Kofu | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 8 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-10-24 | 2-2-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Ventforet Kofu won 0, 0 draws, Vanraure Hachinohe won 1. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 21.06.2017: Ventforet Kofu 0:1 Vanraure Hachinohe
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 35% – 29% – 37%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 52% of Ventforet Kofu’s home matches and 50% of Vanraure Hachinohe’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.3 yellow cards: Ventforet Kofu 1.3, Vanraure Hachinohe 1.0; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 9% (typical match — 11%).
Result
Our model: Ventforet Kofu win 35%, draw 29%, Vanraure Hachinohe win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ventforet Kofu | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 26% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 7% | 0% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.