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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and statistics
Germany · Bundesliga · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Werder Bremen 5.2, SC Paderborn 07 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 50%, typical match 50%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Werder Bremen 1.9, SC Paderborn 07 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 35%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 65%.
Result
Market line without margin: Werder Bremen win 53%, draw 25%, SC Paderborn 07 win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Werder Bremen: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
SC Paderborn 07: last five matches — D-W-D-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Werder Bremen — 4, SC Paderborn 07 — 12 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Werder Bremen at home and SC Paderborn 07 away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 2 |
| Win rate | 33% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 0% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 0% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Werder Bremen won 4, 3 draws, SC Paderborn 07 won 2. Per match: 4.0 goals, 14.9 corners, 4.6 yellow cards.
- 08.08.2026: Werder Bremen 2:2 SC Paderborn 07
- 30.10.2024: SC Paderborn 07 0:1 Werder Bremen
- 19.10.2022: SC Paderborn 07 2:2 Werder Bremen
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Market line without margin: Werder Bremen 53%, draw 25%, SC Paderborn 07 22%.