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Akron Tolyatti vs Fakel Voronezh: prediction and statistics
Russia · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Akron Tolyatti · Fakel Voronezh
Before kick-off
Akron Tolyatti host Fakel Voronezh in Premier League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Akron Tolyatti are 13th and Fakel Voronezh 16th out of 16 teams. Fakel Voronezh are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Akron Tolyatti have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Fakel Voronezh: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Home matches have been a struggle for Akron Tolyatti (2024/25–2026/27) — 9 wins, 9 draws and 19 defeats in 37 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 on average. Fakel Voronezh find it hard on the road: 2 wins, 3 draws and 16 defeats in 21 away matches, 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
The 9 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Akron Tolyatti 5, Fakel Voronezh 3, draws 1. Last time out (11 July 2026) it ended Akron Tolyatti 1:1 Fakel Voronezh. On average these meetings produce 1.8 goals.
Form
Akron Tolyatti: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Fakel Voronezh: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Akron Tolyatti — 13, Fakel Voronezh — 16 (of 16).
Home and away record
Akron Tolyatti at home and Fakel Voronezh away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Akron Tolyatti | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 21 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-9-19 | 2-3-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Akron Tolyatti won 5, 1 draws, Fakel Voronezh won 3. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 11.07.2026: Akron Tolyatti 1:1 Fakel Voronezh
- 13.04.2025: Akron Tolyatti 1:0 Fakel Voronezh
- 18.09.2024: Akron Tolyatti 2:0 Fakel Voronezh
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Akron Tolyatti home games and 52% of Fakel Voronezh away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Akron Tolyatti 4.4, Fakel Voronezh 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Akron Tolyatti 2.1, Fakel Voronezh 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 61%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Akron Tolyatti win 48%, draw 26%, Fakel Voronezh win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Akron Tolyatti | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 24% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 8.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 52% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.