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Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St Petersburg: prediction and statistics
Russia · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Rubin Kazan · Zenit St Petersburg
Before kick-off
Premier League, 21 November 2026: Rubin Kazan are at home to Zenit St Petersburg. Zenit St Petersburg sit 1st in the 16-team table while Rubin Kazan are 8th, so 7 places separate the two sides.
Rubin Kazan are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Zenit St Petersburg arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for Zenit St Petersburg against 4 for Rubin Kazan.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Rubin Kazan have 18 wins, 10 draws and 9 defeats in 37 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Zenit St Petersburg travel well: 23 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats in 37 away matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head, Zenit St Petersburg have the upper hand: 20 wins in 30 meetings with Rubin Kazan in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 30 November 2025, finished Zenit St Petersburg 1:0 Rubin Kazan. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Rubin Kazan: last five matches — D-L-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Zenit St Petersburg: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Rubin Kazan — 8, Zenit St Petersburg — 1 (of 16).
Home and away record
Rubin Kazan at home and Zenit St Petersburg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Rubin Kazan | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-10-9 | 23-9-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Head to head
30 meetings in our database: Rubin Kazan won 7, 3 draws, Zenit St Petersburg won 20. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 30.11.2025: Zenit St Petersburg 1:0 Rubin Kazan
- 30.09.2025: Rubin Kazan 0:1 Zenit St Petersburg
- 12.08.2025: Zenit St Petersburg 3:0 Rubin Kazan
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Zenit St Petersburg is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Rubin Kazan’s home matches and 46% of Zenit St Petersburg’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Zenit St Petersburg: 20 wins in 30 meetings with Rubin Kazan.
- Our model expects more corners from Zenit St Petersburg: 5.9 against 3.3 for Rubin Kazan.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Rubin Kazan 3.3, Zenit St Petersburg 5.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Rubin Kazan 2.5, Zenit St Petersburg 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Rubin Kazan win 14%, draw 22%, Zenit St Petersburg win 64%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 42%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Rubin Kazan | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 49% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 27% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 35% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 7.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.