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Antequera vs Juventud Torremolinos: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Antequera · Juventud Torremolinos
Before kick-off
Primera Federación – Grupo 2, 21 November 2026: Antequera are at home to Juventud Torremolinos. Antequera go into the match 13th of 20 in the table, Juventud Torremolinos are 17th.
Recent results of Antequera are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Juventud Torremolinos are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Antequera against 2 for Juventud Torremolinos.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Antequera have 20 wins, 13 draws and 11 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Juventud Torremolinos — 4 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats in 25 away matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 on average.
Head to head, Antequera have the upper hand: 5 wins in 7 meetings with Juventud Torremolinos in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Antequera 3:1 Juventud Torremolinos. On average these meetings produce 1.9 goals.
Form
Antequera: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.
Juventud Torremolinos: last five matches — L-L-L-D-D.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Antequera — 13, Juventud Torremolinos — 17 (of 20).
Home and away record
Antequera at home and Juventud Torremolinos away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Antequera | Juventud Torremolinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 25 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-13-11 | 4-9-12 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Antequera won 5, 2 draws, Juventud Torremolinos won 0. Per match: 1.9 goals.
- 23.05.2026: Antequera 3:1 Juventud Torremolinos
- 27.09.2025: Juventud Torremolinos 1:1 Antequera
- 26.03.2023: Juventud Torremolinos 0:2 Antequera
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Antequera is the more likely winner in our model: 59%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Antequera’s home matches and 48% of Juventud Torremolinos’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Antequera: 5 wins in 7 meetings with Juventud Torremolinos.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Antequera 2.4, Juventud Torremolinos 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 61% (typical match — 57%).
Result
Our model: Antequera win 59%, draw 23%, Juventud Torremolinos win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Antequera | Juventud Torremolinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 45% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 52% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.