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Zaragoza vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Zaragoza · Rayo Majadahonda
Before kick-off
Primera Federación – Grupo 2, 21 November 2026: Zaragoza are at home to Rayo Majadahonda. Zaragoza sit 1st in the 20-team table while Rayo Majadahonda are 19th, so 18 places separate the two sides. Rayo Majadahonda are in the bottom three.
Few sides are in better shape than Zaragoza right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Rayo Majadahonda recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for Zaragoza against 3 for Rayo Majadahonda.
Zaragoza are hard to beat on their own ground — 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Rayo Majadahonda — 6 defeats in 6 away matches, scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.7 on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 19 January 2019, finished Rayo Majadahonda 2:2 Zaragoza.
Form
Zaragoza: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Rayo Majadahonda: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Zaragoza — 1, Rayo Majadahonda — 19 (of 20).
Home and away record
Zaragoza at home and Rayo Majadahonda away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Zaragoza | Rayo Majadahonda | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-1-1 | 0-0-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Zaragoza won 1, 1 draws, Rayo Majadahonda won 0. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 19.01.2019: Rayo Majadahonda 2:2 Zaragoza
- 19.08.2018: Zaragoza 2:1 Rayo Majadahonda
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Zaragoza is the more likely winner in our model: 75%, draw 18%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of Zaragoza’s home matches and 33% of Rayo Majadahonda’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.9 yellow cards: Zaragoza 3.0, Rayo Majadahonda 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 70% (typical match — 57%).
Result
Our model: Zaragoza win 75%, draw 18%, Rayo Majadahonda win 7%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 31%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Zaragoza | Rayo Majadahonda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 83% | 83% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.