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Artis vs FK Jablonec: prediction and statistics

Czechia · Chance Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Artis host FK Jablonec in Chance Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: FK Jablonec are 7th of 16, Artis 14th — a gap of 7 places. Artis are in the bottom three.

Artis have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for FK Jablonec: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 8 and 7.

Home matches have been a struggle for Artis (2024/25–2026/27) — 2 draws and 6 defeats in 8 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.6 on average. Away from home FK Jablonec have 19 wins, 5 draws and 18 defeats in 42 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.

The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (11 November 2026) it ended Artis 2:1 FK Jablonec.

Form

Artis: last five matches — D-W-D-L-W.

FK Jablonec: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.

Table: Artis — 14, FK Jablonec — 7 (of 16).

Home and away record

Artis at home and FK Jablonec away, 2024/25–2026/27.

ArtisFK Jablonec
Matches842
Wins · draws · losses0-2-619-5-18
Goals scored per match0.91.2
Goals conceded per match2.61.4

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: Artis won 1, 0 draws, FK Jablonec won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 88% of Artis home games and 41% of FK Jablonec away games.
  • Our model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 51%; a draw is 25%.

Corners

54%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Artis 4.6, FK Jablonec 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 56%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 56%.

Yellow cards

73%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Artis 1.7, FK Jablonec 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 41%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 54%, typical match 40%.

Result

Our model: Artis win 24%, draw 25%, FK Jablonec win 51%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 52%.

Team statistics for three seasons

ArtisFK Jablonec
Win rate0%45%
Over 2.5 goals88%41%
Both teams score63%36%
Total corners per match7.810.0
Over 9.5 corners13%59%
Total yellow cards per match3.13.3
Over 4.5 yellow cards25%24%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.0 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction