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Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha: prediction and statistics
Czechia · Chance Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sigma Olomouc · Slavia Praha
Before kick-off
Chance Liga, 21 November 2026: Sigma Olomouc are at home to Slavia Praha. Sigma Olomouc go into the match 5th of 16 in the table, Slavia Praha are 1st.
Few sides are in better shape than Sigma Olomouc right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Slavia Praha have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Sigma Olomouc have 20 wins, 7 draws and 13 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Slavia Praha travel well: 26 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats in 40 away matches, with 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head, Slavia Praha have the upper hand: 15 wins in 20 meetings with Sigma Olomouc in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Slavia Praha 2:1 Sigma Olomouc. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Sigma Olomouc: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Slavia Praha: last five matches — W-W-L-D-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
Table: Sigma Olomouc — 5, Slavia Praha — 1 (of 16).
Home and away record
Sigma Olomouc at home and Slavia Praha away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sigma Olomouc | Slavia Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-7-13 | 26-9-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 0.7 |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Sigma Olomouc won 2, 3 draws, Slavia Praha won 15. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 25.04.2026: Slavia Praha 2:1 Sigma Olomouc
- 26.10.2025: Sigma Olomouc 0:0 Slavia Praha
- 26.04.2025: Sigma Olomouc 0:5 Slavia Praha
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Head to head favours Slavia Praha: 15 wins in 20 meetings with Sigma Olomouc.
- Our model expects more corners from Slavia Praha: 6.9 against 3.4 for Sigma Olomouc.
- Slavia Praha is the more likely winner in our model: 66%, draw 19%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 68% of Sigma Olomouc’s home matches and 48% of Slavia Praha’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Sigma Olomouc 3.4, Slavia Praha 6.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards: Sigma Olomouc 1.6, Slavia Praha 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 24% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 57%, typical match 40%.
Result
Our model: Sigma Olomouc win 15%, draw 19%, Slavia Praha win 66%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sigma Olomouc | Slavia Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 63% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 30% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.