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Baník Ostrava vs Teplice: prediction and statistics
Czechia · Chance Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Baník Ostrava · Teplice
Before kick-off
Baník Ostrava host Teplice in Chance Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Teplice are 6th of 16, Baník Ostrava 13th — a gap of 7 places.
Baník Ostrava have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Teplice are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games.
The home record of Baník Ostrava (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 21 wins, 6 draws and 15 defeats in 42 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Teplice have 11 wins, 14 draws and 15 defeats in 40 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per game.
The 18 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Baník Ostrava 9, Teplice 6, draws 3. Last time out (9 May 2026) it ended Teplice 2:1 Baník Ostrava. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Baník Ostrava: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Teplice: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Baník Ostrava — 13, Teplice — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
Baník Ostrava at home and Teplice away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Baník Ostrava | Teplice | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-6-15 | 11-14-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Baník Ostrava won 9, 3 draws, Teplice won 6. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 09.05.2026: Teplice 2:1 Baník Ostrava
- 22.11.2025: Teplice 1:0 Baník Ostrava
- 17.09.2025: Baník Ostrava 1:1 Teplice
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Baník Ostrava 40%, draw 25%, Teplice 35%.
- Baník Ostrava should win the corner count: 6.3 expected against 3.7 for Teplice.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Baník Ostrava home games and 43% of Teplice away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Baník Ostrava 6.3, Teplice 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Baník Ostrava 1.7, Teplice 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 60%.
Result
Our model: Baník Ostrava win 40%, draw 25%, Teplice win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Baník Ostrava | Teplice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.