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Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen: prediction and statistics
Czechia · Chance Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bohemians 1905 · Plzen
Before kick-off
Bohemians 1905 host Plzen in Chance Liga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Bohemians 1905 are 9th, Plzen 8th in a table of 16.
Bohemians 1905 arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Plzen right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 11 and 12.
The home record of Bohemians 1905 (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 13 wins, 12 draws and 14 defeats in 39 matches, 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road Plzen are a dangerous side — 21 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats in 40 away matches, 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
History favours Plzen — 13 wins from 19 meetings with Bohemians 1905. Last time out (15 March 2026) it ended Plzen 2:0 Bohemians 1905. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Bohemians 1905: last five matches — D-W-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Plzen: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Bohemians 1905 — 9, Plzen — 8 (of 16).
Home and away record
Bohemians 1905 at home and Plzen away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bohemians 1905 | Plzen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-12-14 | 21-9-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Bohemians 1905 won 2, 4 draws, Plzen won 13. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 15.03.2026: Plzen 2:0 Bohemians 1905
- 18.10.2025: Bohemians 1905 0:1 Plzen
- 13.04.2025: Bohemians 1905 1:2 Plzen
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Plzen the favourite at 52%; a draw is 23%.
- Plzen has won 13 of the last 19 meetings with Bohemians 1905.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Bohemians 1905 home games and 63% of Plzen away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Bohemians 1905 4.7, Plzen 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Bohemians 1905 2.1, Plzen 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 60%.
Result
Our model: Bohemians 1905 win 25%, draw 23%, Plzen win 52%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Bohemians 1905 | Plzen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 63% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 35% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.9 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.