Xpect
AS Eupen vs Sporting Hasselt: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: AS Eupen · Sporting Hasselt
Before kick-off
Challenger Pro League, 21 November 2026: AS Eupen are at home to Sporting Hasselt. AS Eupen go into the match 3rd of 15 in the table, Sporting Hasselt are 6th. AS Eupen are part of the leading group.
Recent results of AS Eupen are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Sporting Hasselt arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) AS Eupen have 13 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats in 34 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Sporting Hasselt travel well: 5 wins and 1 defeat in 6 away matches, with 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
AS Eupen: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Sporting Hasselt: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · away
Table: AS Eupen — 3, Sporting Hasselt — 6 (of 15).
Home and away record
AS Eupen at home and Sporting Hasselt away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| AS Eupen | Sporting Hasselt | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-9-12 | 5-0-1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 38% – 23% – 39%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 65% of AS Eupen’s home matches and 67% of Sporting Hasselt’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: AS Eupen 1.9, Sporting Hasselt 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: AS Eupen win 38%, draw 23%, Sporting Hasselt win 39%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| AS Eupen | Sporting Hasselt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 50% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.