Xpect
Seraing United vs Patro Eisden: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Seraing United · Patro Eisden
Before kick-off
Challenger Pro League, 21 November 2026: Seraing United are at home to Patro Eisden. Patro Eisden sit 5th in the 15-team table while Seraing United are 12th, so 7 places separate the two sides.
An uneven run for Seraing United: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Patro Eisden have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Seraing United have not made their ground a fortress: 7 wins, 10 draws and 17 defeats in 34 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Patro Eisden travel well: 16 wins, 11 draws and 10 defeats in 37 away matches, with 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
This fixture often ends level: 4 of the 8 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Seraing United 2:0 Patro Eisden. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Seraing United: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Patro Eisden: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Seraing United — 12, Patro Eisden — 5 (of 15).
Home and away record
Seraing United at home and Patro Eisden away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Seraing United | Patro Eisden | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 37 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 7-10-17 | 16-11-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Seraing United won 3, 4 draws, Patro Eisden won 1. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 05.04.2026: Seraing United 2:0 Patro Eisden
- 19.10.2025: Patro Eisden 2:2 Seraing United
- 22.12.2024: Patro Eisden 2:3 Seraing United
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Seraing United’s home matches and 49% of Patro Eisden’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 4 of 8 meetings.
- No clear favourite in our model: 34% – 24% – 42%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Seraing United 4.9, Patro Eisden 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Seraing United 2.4, Patro Eisden 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Seraing United win 34%, draw 24%, Patro Eisden win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Seraing United | Patro Eisden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 59% | 70% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.