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Liège vs RSC Anderlecht II: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Liège · RSC Anderlecht II
Before kick-off
Liège host RSC Anderlecht II in Challenger Pro League on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Liège are 15th, RSC Anderlecht II 14th in a table of 15. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against Liège recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. RSC Anderlecht II are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 4 and 4.
The home record of Liège (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 15 wins, 9 draws and 11 defeats in 35 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. RSC Anderlecht II find it hard on the road: 5 wins, 9 draws and 19 defeats in 33 away matches, 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 4 in 6 meetings. Last time out (31 January 2026) it ended RSC Anderlecht II 0:0 Liège. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Liège: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
RSC Anderlecht II: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Liège — 15, RSC Anderlecht II — 14 (of 15).
Home and away record
Liège at home and RSC Anderlecht II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Liège | RSC Anderlecht II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-9-11 | 5-9-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Liège won 1, 4 draws, RSC Anderlecht II won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 31.01.2026: RSC Anderlecht II 0:0 Liège
- 20.09.2025: Liège 1:1 RSC Anderlecht II
- 01.03.2025: RSC Anderlecht II 2:4 Liège
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Liège should win the corner count: 5.5 expected against 4.4 for RSC Anderlecht II.
- 4 of the 6 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Liège home games and 67% of RSC Anderlecht II away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Liège 38%, draw 22%, RSC Anderlecht II 40%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Liège 5.5, RSC Anderlecht II 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Liège 1.8, RSC Anderlecht II 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Liège win 38%, draw 22%, RSC Anderlecht II win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 68%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Liège | RSC Anderlecht II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 55% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 13.2 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.